2016 Oscar Predictions

Since 2006, I have predicted the winners at the Oscars. I admit, my accuracy has been hit-or-miss. This is the second year I have posted my predictions. In addition to my predictions, I have also added who I think should win. My predictions do not always correlate with my preference winners.

​Best Picture of the Year
Probably Will Win: The Revenant                 
Prefer to Win: Spotlight

Best Actor in a Lead Role
Probably Will Win: Leo Dicaprio for The Revenant     
Prefer to Win: Leo Dicaprio for The Revenant

Best Actress in a Lead Role
Probably Will Win: Brie Larson for Room   
Prefer to Win: Brie Larson for Room

Best Actor in a Supporting Role
Probably Will Win: Sylvester Stallone for Creed
Prefer to Win: Tom Hardy for The Revenant

Best Actress in a Supporting Role
Probably Will Win: Alicia Vikander for The Danish Girl
Prefer to Win: Alicia Vikander for The Danish Girl

Best Director
Probably Will Win: Alejandro G. for The Revenant
Prefer to Win: Tom McCarthy for Spotlight

Best Original Screenplay
Probably Will Win: Spotlight
Prefer to Win: Spotlight

Best Adapted Screenplay
Probably Will Win: The Big Short
Prefer to Win: The Big Short

Best Cinematography
Probably Will Win: The Revenant
Prefer to Win: The Revenant

Best Costume Design
Probably Will Win: Mad Max: Fury Road
Prefer to Win: Carol

Best Production/Set Design
Probably Will Win: Mad Max: Fury Road
Prefer to Win: The Martian

Best Editing
Probably Will Win: Mad Max: Fury Road
Prefer to Win: The Big Short

Best Sound Mixing
Probably Will Win: The Revenant
Prefer to Win: The Revenant

Best Sound Editing
Probably Will Win: Mad Max: Fury Road
Prefer to Win: Star Wars Episode VII: The Force Awakens

Best Visual Effects
Probably Will Win: Star Wars Episode VII: The Force Awakens
Prefer to Win: Star Wars Episode VII: The Force Awakens

Best Make-Up & Hairstyling
Probably Will Win: Mad Max: Fury Road
Prefer to Win: The Revenant

Best Original Music Score
Probably Will Win: The Hateful Eight
Prefer to Win: The Hateful Eight

Best Song
Probably Will Win: Spectre “The Writings on the Wall”
Prefer to Win: Spectre “The Writings on the Wall” 

Best Animated Film
Probably Will Win: Inside Out
Prefer to Win: Inside Out

Best Documentary Film
Probably Will Win: Amy
Prefer to Win: Winter on Fire: Ukraine’s Fight for Freedom

Best Foreign Film
Probably Will Win: Son of Saul
Prefer to Win: Son of Saul

In conclusion, I think The Revenant will set Oscar history. Leo will finally win his first Academy Award. Emmanuel Lubezki will win his third Oscar consecutively, and Alejandro G. will take home his second Best Director Award in a row.

Most importantly, I hope Ennio Morricone receives his long overdue Oscar for the chilling music he composed for The Hateful Eight. This marks his sixth nomination. It's about time he wins. While loved by fans and critics, I think Mad Max: Fury Road will mainly clean out the technical awards. Hopefully, the academy will be nice and give Star Wars 7 a well-earned and much needed Oscar for VFX. As an aside, I base most of my predictions off of the BAFTAs and Guild Awards.

My final prediction tally.

The Revenant: 5
Mad Max: Fury Road: 5
Star Wars 7: 1
Spotlight: 1
The Big Short: 1
Room: 1
Creed: 1
The Danish Girl: 1
The Hateful Eight: 1
Inside Out: 1
Spectre: 1
Son of Saul: 1
Amy: 1

I have not listed any of my predictions for the documentary and animation shorts. This is because I often don't predict them; I never get a chance to view them anyway, which defeats the purpose.